Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033378 0.036380 0.039396 0.042647 0.046047 0.049492 0.053241
2026-01-11 0.029049 0.033543 0.038200 0.043363 0.048905 0.054654 0.061049
2026-01-18 0.025649 0.031226 0.037166 0.043913 0.051313 0.059137 0.067990
2026-01-25 0.021559 0.027743 0.034521 0.042405 0.051231 0.060729 0.071642
2026-02-01 0.018816 0.025497 0.033011 0.041935 0.052104 0.063206 0.076125
2026-02-08 0.016683 0.023754 0.031903 0.041767 0.053182 0.065803 0.080645
2026-02-15 0.015614 0.023168 0.032047 0.042957 0.055736 0.070001 0.086912
2026-02-22 0.014542 0.022478 0.031988 0.043842 0.057885 0.073698 0.092580
2026-03-01 0.013396 0.021600 0.031628 0.044307 0.059492 0.076736 0.097469
2026-03-08 0.012239 0.020620 0.031073 0.044477 0.060702 0.079280 0.101761
2026-03-15 0.011576 0.020237 0.031220 0.045466 0.062858 0.082899 0.107276
2026-03-22 0.010247 0.018862 0.030039 0.044762 0.062937 0.084056 0.109912
2026-03-29 0.009362 0.018062 0.029583 0.044962 0.064131 0.086561 0.114172
2026-04-05 0.008727 0.017574 0.029506 0.045620 0.065871 0.089709 0.119189
2026-04-12 0.008097 0.017048 0.029346 0.046150 0.067439 0.092645 0.123956
2026-04-19 0.006795 0.015407 0.027604 0.044580 0.066360 0.092377 0.124915
2026-04-26 0.005973 0.014434 0.026725 0.044089 0.066590 0.093656 0.127683
2026-05-03 0.005323 0.013677 0.026109 0.043912 0.067190 0.095364 0.130949
2026-05-10 0.005127 0.013664 0.026545 0.045135 0.069564 0.099234 0.136803
2026-05-17 0.004860 0.013505 0.026756 0.046045 0.071534 0.102608 0.142065
2026-05-24 0.004498 0.013149 0.026658 0.046523 0.072941 0.105286 0.146487
2026-05-31 0.004088 0.012668 0.026351 0.046698 0.073944 0.107460 0.150296
2026-06-07 0.003909 0.012601 0.026659 0.047714 0.076036 0.110979 0.155736